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Lebanon Dancing With Danger to Syrian, Iranian Composers

The Christian Science Monitor report is headlined Syria's role at US talks may help Lebanon. Within it, analysts are cited noting the likely inclusion of talks on the Golan Heights - captured 1967 after Syria invaded Israel - and ongoing speculation that Israel may ultimately return the land to Syria.

Syria, which exerts powerful influence over the Lebanese opposition to the Western-backed government in Beirut, is attending the Annapolis conference after US officials agreed that the fate of the Golan Heights – Syrian territory occupied by Israel since 1967 – could be discussed.

The presence at Annapolis of Syria, a close ally of Iran and a staunch foe of Israel, may herald the beginning of a thaw in the icy relations between Damascus and Washington, which some analysts believe could help stabilize Lebanon and weaken Syria's relationship with Iran.

"There's been a very clear link in the past two weeks between the Lebanon crisis and Annapolis," says Ibrahim Hamidi, the influential Damascus correspondent of the pan-Arab Al-Hayat daily. "It's part of a process that focuses again on the Arab-Israeli struggle. Definitely, it will have a positive impact on Lebanon."

Here is how this article should be properly digested:

Of course there is a link between the crisis in Lebanon and Syrian interests in the Golan as well as others. Please recall with clarity that Hizballah sparked the 2006 Summer War with Israel at a time precisely when the UN investigation into Syrian involvement in the murder of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri was coming to a head and Syrian reference to the UN Security Council seemed imminent.

Please also recall with clarity that Hizballah sparked the 2006 Summer War with Israel at a time precisely when Iran was about to be referred to the UN Security Council (again) for consideration of sanctions regarding their non-cooperation with the IAEA on its clandestine nuclear program.

In short: The Lebanon crisis is now and always has been about Syrian and Iranian interests. No matter what Hassan Nassrallah or anyone else says. Lebanon has the regrettable fortune of location - at the crossroads of regional interests greater than her own ability to stand.

So while Lebanon dances on the precipice of disaster once more, the music is conducted by Syrian and Iranian composers yet again. Or, more properly, still. The sheet music has long been written and changes little with time.