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Nasrallah: Words of a Victor, Actions of Defeat

"It was the best of times, it was the worst of times.”
Charles Dickens - A Tale of Two Cities

While Hizballah leader Hassan Nasrallah throws his fist in the air at a public rally celebrating a "divine victory," quite another picture of the private psyche of terrorist figurehead emerges.

The Washington Institute's Ehud Yaari speaks surprisingly of Nasrallah’s Malaise [via Pajamas Media], privately dejected and depressed at his lost stature, both personally and with regard to the present and future diminishing strength of Hizballah.

Hassan Nasrallah is showing clear signs of “dejection, melancholy and depression,” according to the editors of the Lebanese daily al-Safir, who are counted among the most steadfast supporters of the leader of Hizballah. Alongside a tiresomely long interview with him, published on September 5, they note that the man radiates a sense of “disappointment and distress.”

It is no trifling matter that Nasrallah, who is always punctilious in demonstrating self-confidence and determination, comes across this way to those visiting him in his hideout. “I myself don’t even know where I am,” he told his interviewers. “They have moved me from one hiding place to another dozens of times.”

...There are already signs that Hizballah has started moving its military equipment from the South toward the Lebanese Biqa [or Bekaa Valley]. In other words, Nasrallah understands that the South has ceased to be “Hizballahstan” and he is conceding the role that he had taken upon himself in the past, to serve as the guardian of Lebanon’s border.

Read all of Yaari's latest. It exposes a telling contrast between the private Nasrallah and the public Nasrallah, who screamed today at a Hizballah rally in Beirut, "No army in the world will be able to make us drop the weapons from our hands!"

More precisely, no army in the world has the political within its civilian leadership to disarm Hizballah. The IDF as a military force is perfectly capable of disarming Hizballah. Yet, the combination of UN-flagged and Lebanese troops have at least the ability to force Hizballah to hide their weapons in the 'tool shed' rather than brandish them on the streets. That Hizballah is heeding this negotiated demand is a sign of weakness when compared to their bellicose militant history.

So, while Nasrallah proclaims a "divine victory" over the Israeli armed forces in the south, Hizballahstan is moving north. These are not the actions of a victor.


Mr. Schippert...

I think you're reading too much into this----not every cloud has a silver lining! The recent Hizballah/IDF skirmish is the first military action in which the IDF has not achieved a decisive or perceived success. Hizballah, as the fox, has taken to its lair to lick it's wounds and wait for the next time while providing the people with circuses. With UN forces on the Southern Lebanese border a status quo is in effect and politics, especially Lebanese politics comes to the forefront. Peace may come to the Middle East, but will require a huge concession on the part of Israel. To paraphrase what a long past Arab official said after the 1948 War----"We have a secret weapon; Time." And he wasn't fooling! The actions of Fatah, then Hamas, and now Hizballah have all use that secret weapon to their advantage.

Perhaps I am reading too much into Yaari's report, Blackspeare. But I do not think so.

Having said that, the purpose of the post - and likely that of Yaari's - is to suggest that, while media coverage is often limitted to publicly spoken bellicose words from Nasrallah and Hizballah, not even they believe fully their claims of 'divine victory' or the 'strategic' defeat of Israel and her IDF.

Hizballah manufactured much public condemnation of Israel - a political victory of sorts. But at the same time, Israel's physical damage meted out to Hizballah is not to be dismissed.