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On Predicting Iran's Nuclear Progress

Varifrank has looked back at predictions past regarding the developing nuclear programs of China, Pakistan, the Soviet Union...and juxtaposes this against the current distant predictions of Iran's nuclear capabilities.

From Just a passing thought...:

"It will take decades for the Soviets to get an Atomic Bomb" - Spoken in 1945.

1949. Boom.

"China does not have the economic capabilty to produce an atomic bomb for atleast another 30 years". - spoken in 1960.

1964. Boom.

Excellent points in an excellent piece. I had missed it. You should not.